Agro-ecosystems respond to environmental stresses (e.g., climate variability and change, soil degradation, land and water use). While this is a two-way link where agricultural practices also affect the environment, CRED's immediate focus is farmers' decision making (involving, for instance, crop selection and planting schedules) in the face of climate uncertainty. We examine the use and communication of climate forecasts, farmers' adaptive responses to climatic events, and management decision in rain-fed subsistence and commercial agriculture.

Individual, Household, and Technical Advisor-Assisted Agriculture Decision Making in the Argentine Pampas »
This project studies how individual differences in preferences and expectation influence decision framing and objective functions, and how those interact and integrate in very small groups.

Decision Making Under Risk of Extreme Climate Events Among Farmers in the Northeastern U.S. »
This project studies how farmers in the northeastern U.S. utilize personal experience, group experience, and instructional materials to formulate climate expectations and to protect against climate risk.

Surveillance and Control of Rift Valley Fever in the Greater Horn of Africa and the Middle East »
This project tries to model disease risk and to understand how such a model can be used in a large-scale multilevel decision system involving stakeholders in animal trade.

More Research
Making Sense of Forecasts: the Role of Group Discussion in Understanding Climate Information »

Effective Use of Scientific Information: Social Goals, Incentive Structures, and Learning Under Uncertainty »



Last Updated: June 1, 2006